剧情简介：Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He eva...(展开全部)
作者：Philip E. Tetlock
出版社：Princeton University Press
ISBN：9780691178288
